Analyzing Stock On Your Own: Twilio Inc (NYSE: TWLO)

Twilio Inc (NYSE:TWLO) does about 2.36M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 2500959 shares change hands in the recent trading day. The company now has a market cap of 16.36B USD. Its current market price is $104.35, marking an increase of 2.23% compared to the previous close of $102.07. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $102.49 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $52.51. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $450 and a low of $50.

Twilio Inc (TWLO) has a 20-day trading average at $90.54 and the current price is 1.81% off the 52-week high compared with 98.72% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $76.32 and its 200-day simple moving average is $63.79. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 3.32%, which increases to 3.37% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 86.19 to suggest the stock is overbought.

13 analysts observing the Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $50 and $450. The consensus objective for the share price is $86.60, suggesting that the stock has a potential downside of -20.5% over the period. The median price target is 22.7% away from the current levels at $135.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 13 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 0 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 0 advise that it is a overweight. 8 analysts have rated it as a buy and 5 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Buy and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Moderate Buy the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on November 15, 2024 when Monness Crespi & Hardt upgraded the stock to “Buy” and issued a price target of $135. Wells Fargo also upgraded the stock to “Overweight” from Equal Weight on November 12, 2024 at a price target of $80-$120. Tigress Financial initiated its price target at $75.

The current price level is 15.25%, 36.72%, and 63.59% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the TWLO price moving above the 50-day SMA on current market day. Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock is up 8.03% over the week and 46.48% over the past month. Its price is 37.54% year-to-date and 66.53% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/30/2024, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of 0.86 above consensus estimates by 0.28. The company’s next earnings report forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at 1.0 and 3.66 for whole year. Expected sales for next quarter are $1.13B, which analysts say will come at $4.42B for the current fiscal year and next year at $4.76B. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $1.16B.

Its 12-month price target is $135. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to shrink -20.5 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $50, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $450.

The company has a return on investment of -4.96% and return on equity of -5.08%. The forward price to earnings ratio is 24.27. The beta has a value of 1.36. Price to book ratio is 1.97 and price to sales ratio is 3.77.