Volatility Is Your Friend: Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) Is Hot Again

Enphase Energy Inc (NASDAQ:ENPH) does about 2.89M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 2808373 shares change hands in the recent trading day. The company now has a market cap of 12.41B USD. Its current market price is $91.64, marking an increase of 0.08% compared to the previous close of $91.57. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $141.63 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $73.49. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $341 and a low of $90.

Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) has a 20-day trading average at $105.33 and the current price is -35.30% off the 52-week high compared with 24.70% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $110.98 and its 200-day simple moving average is $113.85. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 3.84%, which increases to 3.92% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 29.16 to suggest the stock is oversold.

29 analysts observing the Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $90 and $341. The consensus objective for the share price is $123.79, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 25.97% over the period. The median price target is 38.91% away from the current levels at $150.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 29 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 2 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 0 advise that it is a overweight. 22 analysts have rated it as a buy and 5 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Buy and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Moderate Buy the stock.

Susquehanna downgraded the stock to “Neutral” from Positive on October 16, 2024 at a price target of $147-$104. RBC Capital Mkts downgraded its price target at $125-$100.

The current price level is -13.00%, -17.43%, and -19.51% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the ENPH price moving above the 50-day SMA on current market day. Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) stock is down -9.24% over the week and -21.92% over the past month. Its price is -30.65% year-to-date and -26.00% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 6/30/2024, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of 1.02 above consensus estimates by 0.01. The company’s next earnings report forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at 0.77 and 2.46 for whole year. Expected sales for next quarter are $437.12M, which analysts say will come at $1.39B for the current fiscal year and next year at $1.98B. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $391.98M.

Its 12-month price target is $150. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 25.97 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $90, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $341.

Outstanding shares total 135.72M with insiders holding 3.32% of the shares and institutional holders owning 87.79% of the company’s common stock. The company has a return on investment of 6.17% and return on equity of 13.96%. The price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) amounts to 100.15 while the forward price to earnings ratio is 19.93. The beta has a value of 1.73. Price to book ratio is 14.03 and price to sales ratio is 8.74.