American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (AXL): Are Investors Missing The Big Picture?

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (NYSE:AXL) does about 1.29M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 3058237 shares change hands in the recent trading day. The company now has a market cap of 765.25M USD. Its current market price is $6.51, marking an increase of 4.83% compared to the previous close of $6.21. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $8.99 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $6.06. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $12 and a low of $7.

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (AXL) has a 20-day trading average at $6.95 and the current price is -27.63% off the 52-week high compared with 7.43% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $7.07 and its 200-day simple moving average is $7.39. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 5.75%, which decreases to 4.28% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 42.47 to suggest the stock is neutral.

The consensus objective for the share price is $8.00, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 18.63% over the period. The median price target is 27.67% away from the current levels at $9.

1 analysts have rated it as a buy and 3 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Hold and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Moderate Buy the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on February 28, 2024 when UBS upgraded the stock to “Neutral” and issued a price target of $7. UBS downgraded the stock to “Sell” from Neutral on January 17, 2024 at a price target of $8-$6.50. BofA Securities downgraded its price target at $9-$8.

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (AXL) stock is down -2.25% over the week and -7.40% over the past month. Its price is -26.11% year-to-date and -18.42% over the past year.

The company’s next earnings report forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at 0.02 and 0.31 for whole year. Expected sales for next quarter are $1.47B, which analysts say will come at $6.22B for the current fiscal year and next year at $6.24B. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $1.56B.

Its 12-month price target is $9. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 18.63 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $7, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $12.

Outstanding shares total 117.10M with insiders holding 3.99% of the shares and institutional holders owning 94.98% of the company’s common stock. The company has a return on investment of 0.03% and return on equity of 0.14%. The price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) amounts to 986.36 while the forward price to earnings ratio is 12.07. The beta has a value of 1.99. Price to book ratio is 1.26 and price to sales ratio is 0.12.