How Worried Should Investors Be About Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ: ADPT)

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT) does about 1.67M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 978548 shares change hands in the recent trading day. The company now has a market cap of 521.69M USD. Its current market price is $3.54, marking a decrease of -1.94% compared to the previous close of $3.61. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $8.51 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $2.28. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $18 and a low of $5.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) has a 20-day trading average at $3.39 and the current price is -58.40% off the 52-week high compared with 55.26% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $3.39 and its 200-day simple moving average is $3.91. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 5.83%, which increases to 5.83% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 54.30 to suggest the stock is neutral.

The consensus objective for the share price is $6.33, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 44.08% over the period. The median price target is 74.71% away from the current levels at $14.

4 analysts have rated it as a buy and 6 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Hold and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Strong Buy the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on July 05, 2023 when JP Morgan resumed the stock to “Overweight” and issued a price target of $15. Piper Sandler upgraded its price target at $7.50-$14.

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (ADPT) stock is down -1.67% over the week and -9.23% over the past month. Its price is -27.76% year-to-date and -41.39% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 3/31/2024, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of -0.33 above consensus estimates by 0.02. The company’s next earnings report forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at -0.33 and -1.3 for whole year. Expected sales for next quarter are $40.52M, which analysts say will come at $167.87M for the current fiscal year and next year at $205.56M. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $38.66M.

Its 12-month price target is $14. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 44.08 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $5, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $18.

The company has a return on investment of -43.59% and return on equity of -61.54%. The beta has a value of 1.35. Price to book ratio is 1.90 and price to sales ratio is 2.99.